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September 13, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings From Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec

Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec

Greetings from Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, where one can feel fall beginning to set in…the forecast temperature high for Thursday is just +7 Celsius (45 Fahrenheit)…Gold has cooled off as well recently as the consolidation phase we were anticipating has taken hold…this is a healthy development, however, from a technical perspective and should pave the way for higher prices and a breakout beyond the $2,000 level sometime during the fourth quarter…as of 11:00 am Eastern, Gold is up $9 an ounce at $1,823 after dropping as low as $1,794…Silver is 26 cents higher at $40.65…Copper is up slightly at $3.99…Crude Oil is $1.34 higher at $89.53 while the U.S. Dollar Index is off marginally at 77.12…the situation in Europe continues to spook the markets with cracks starting to show in the resilience of the copper market…Chile’s Codelco, the world’s largest copper producer, stated that some of its clients in Europe and the United States have asked to cancel orders, showing that debt troubles and stagnant economies in those areas are starting to spread through the metals industry…continued robust growth in the emerging markets, however, should keep demand healthy…the global economy needs the likes of China and India to keep moving forward, and we suggest our readers check out an excellent piece by Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors last weekend (Investor Alert) that debunks the myth that China cannot maintain its strong rate of growth…

Osisko Mining’s (OSK, TSX) massive Canadian Malartic discovery, now the largest commercial mine in the country, has sparked a real Gold rush in this part of the Abitibi which has also helped to double home values in Rouyn-Noranda in just the last few years…mining is part of the culture of this community of 40,000 and our first visit to the area was in early 2010, shortly after Gold Bullion Development’s (GBB, TSX-V) discovery at Granada…GBB went from a market cap of $7 million, when we first brought it to our readers’ attention, to nearly $150 million and even with the drop in the CDNX over the last six months it still commands a total market capitalization of $60 million…President and CEO Frank Basa has been quiet recently but we suspect he’s going to let GENIVAR’s upcoming 43-101 resource estimate for Granada do the talking…Granada remains a massive project with enormous potential…it’s a multiple vein structure system with far more veins discovered since early 2010 than geologists ever thought existed…mineralization also occurs between these many vein structures…some analysts who have never visited the property have questioned the grade distribution, which can be somewhat erratic at times, but the 43-101 report should put a lot of those fears to rest in our view…mineralization is low-grade but widespread (open in all directions) and near-surface at Granada…the deposit has also not been properly tested at depth – it would be very interesting to see what could be 2,000 metres underground…the LONG Bars Zone multi-million ounce potential remains intact and the 43-101, which will be based on tens of thousands of metres of drilling by GBB as well as historical work, should give Gold Bullion a strong foundation of value…

A view of the western edge of the Granada deposit including some of the site infrastructure and a portion of the waste pile which has been the target of considerable drilling over the past year.

We’re optimistic regarding GBB and Granada…if we had to pick another junior in the area that has 10-bagger potential, it has to be Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) which has all the necessary ingredients for success – the properties, a very strong geological team that includes Robert Sansfacon whose ability to understand structure was an important factor in the discovery of Canadian Malartic, and the capital and business savvy that are necessary in order to succeed both on the ground and in the market…later today, we’ll be interviewing President and CEO Martin Dallaire which should prove particularly interesting in light of yesterday’s news from VGD…we expect to be able to post the interview by sometime this evening…in just a couple of months, VGD has made very impressive progress at its Wasa Creek Property which borders part of the southern and western boundaries of Richmont Mines‘ (RIC, TSX) Wasamac deposit…as our readers know, we have been extremely bullish regarding Wasamac for nearly a year and now the results are proving us correct – the Wasamac deposit, with several zones that remain open at depth and to the east, clearly has multi-million ounce potential…(RIC’s initial 43-101 resource estimate in February outlined an all-category resource of 1.4 million ounces)…a critical point to keep in mind is that much of the land west of Rouyn-Noranda out to Wasamac, Francoeur and beyond has been hugely under-explored over the years…Richmont’s results (one of the most recent intersections was 31.4 metres of true width grading 7.28 g/t Au) prove that out, but this is also due in part to some errors in historical geological interpretation as the Cobalt sediments over certain sections of the area west of Rouyn-Noranda aren’t quite as extensive or as deep as originally feared…as far as Wasa Creek is concerned, Visible Gold Mines painted a very clear geological picture yesterday of what appears to be unfolding there…we covered the highlights in a separate piece last night…visuals of core are encouraging (10 distinct zones in LBWC-11-12 for example with mineralized shear zones up to 13 metres in length and a quartz carbonate vein structure near the end of the hole)…the mineralized sections contain 2-5% pyrite and some chalcopyrite…mineralization has been observed in core over an area covering at least 2300 metres…VGD states there is a “bend” in the Cadillac Fault that runs underneath the middle of the property and that’s highly significant…a “bend” can create intense pressure, heat and fracturing and that’s what leads to the creation of deposits…the discovery of north-south faults at Wasa Creek, in our view, could mean that VGD geologists are drawing a possible connection between the Wasa Creek structure and the former Alderman copper-Gold-silver-zinc mine 2.5 kilometres immediately to the north…so we have plenty of questions for Martin Dallaire when we interview him later today…Wasa East continues to look very interesting and drill targets continue to be lined up there…meanwhile, VGD has started drilling its promising Joutel Project 150 kilometres north of Rouyn-Noranda…as of 11:00 am Eastern, VGD is up 2.5 pennies at 42.5 cents on continued strong volume…

Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V) released initial drill results this morning from Phase 2 of its program at Pascalis-Colombiere, showing mineralization extends at depth below the former producing L.C. Beliveau Mine…hole PC-11-15A cut an impressive 7.1 g/t Au over 4.3 metres…there are also extensions at depth to the west with results showing 4.5 g/t Au over 9.3 metres and 5.2 g/t Au over 3.7 metres…new ENE trending structures have also been intersected up to 550 metres depth – 5.8 metres grading 4.1 g/t Au, 3 metres grading 4.7 g/t Au, 3 metres grading 4.3 g/t Au, and 6.8 metres grading 3.1 g/t Au…the Pascalis package is coming together nicely and includes both underground and open-pit potential…16 holes were completed in Phase 2 and results are pending for 10 additional holes…a 43-101 resource estimate is being worked on…we’ll have more on this potential new producer adjacent to Richmont’s Beaufor Mine in the coming days…AGE is off 2 cents at the moment on light volume at 58 cents…

Richmont President and CEO Martin Rivard has agreed to an interview with BMR on Friday which we are very much looking forward to…Richmont has done a tremendous job developing its Wasamac deposit and Rivard will also be able to give our readers some additional insight into the area in general…Richmont has become an earnings machine with its producing Beaufor and Island Gold Mines plus Francoeur which is going into commercial production by early next year…if you’re a believer in much higher Gold prices, as we are, then accumulating Richmont on any weakness makes perfect sense…RIC has been one of the best-performing stocks on the TSX this year and it should continue to be a leader given its strong growth prospects…it’s a quality company in every respect…

Canaco Resources (CAN, TSX-V) cut a nice hole at its Magambazi deposit in Tanzania, 49 metres grading 3.92 g/t Au as reported yesterday…we can’t help but think this is shaping up to be a fabulous deposit…seven rigs continue to drill there…one of our other favorites in Tanzania, of course, is Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V) and initial results should be coming soon from drilling at Sisu River and Dhahabu at the company’s Mabale Hills Project…CUI is currently unchanged at 18 cents…drilling is underway at Sekenke and that’s definitely a positive development for Currie RoseSpanish Mountain Gold (SPA, TSX-V) continues to look good, breaking through the important 85-cent area that John had mentioned was critical in a recent chart…SPA is currently down a penny at 86 cents…we seldom mention non-resource stocks but one company whose technology intrigues is iSign Media Solutions (ISD, TSX-V)…for those who have been following this play, John has an updated chart this morning…ISD is off 2.5 cents at 30 cents as of 11:00 am Eastern

11 Comments

  1. Hello, it appears that Visible Gold Mines will have an income stream until 2015.
    VGD most recent financial report indicates that there are 18,078,125 warrants granted with a weighted average exercise price of $0.58. If all warrants are exercised, there is a potential of $10m trickling into VGD treasuries. Will this be enough? Hopefully the information is correct.
    Yours, Alexandre

    Comment by Alexandre — September 13, 2011 @ 7:47 am

  2. Hi Alexandre, the expiry date on the 15 million warrants at 45 cents is now October of next year….also 3 million warrants I believe at $1.20…….keep in mind, too, that VGD will have approximately $2 million coming back to them next year from the Quebec government (exploration incentive program)……money is not an issue with VGD……the company has strong financial backing…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — September 13, 2011 @ 8:12 am

  3. Hi Jon, looks like your trip is going very well so far.
    If you would be picking VGD to have a 10 bagger potential and we see CQX following along nicely then would it fair to say that you would see CQX to be also a 10 bagger potential or maybe a 5 bagger. What do you think? Thanks, looking forward to your interview with Martin.D.

    Comment by Ed — September 13, 2011 @ 9:20 am

  4. Hi Ed, I like CQX’s Utah project a lot though it will require a great deal of work. What the market is most excited about, however, is the Wasamac area where CQX will certainly benefit from VGD’s exploration success at Wasa Creek and Wasa East (and potentially elsewhere on the Lucky Break and Cadillac Break land package). I’ve said this before, though, and I’ll say it again – Cadillac has got to do something with its 100% owned 7 claims adjoining the Richmont deposit to the north. There are two separate environments there – Gold and VMS – so the property holds a lot of potential. There’s a chance RIC’s Main Zone could plunge onto their ground. This has got to be explored, one way or the other. I think if Cadillac can pull things together, yes, it has huge upside as right now the market cap is only $4 million. That’s nothing. One of CQX’s disadvantages right now is that it’s cash poor, but they can solve that problem by leveraging part of their interest in the Wasa claims.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — September 13, 2011 @ 9:31 am

  5. Ed volume is picking up in CQX, last year i have bought it at 10 cent end of november just for their land package in west of Rouyn and the fact that the graph was near of breaking out), Had sell at 11 cent 3 days layter because i had found something more interest (if i remember it was GQC)it rock to 50 cent in a mounth (5 baggers for the period) So this time i will stick with it for a while 🙂

    Comment by Martin — September 13, 2011 @ 10:05 am

  6. Hi Jon,

    (and potentially elsewhere on the Lucky Break and Cadillac Break land package).

    Ask Martin about a statut about that if you can, Thanks

    Martin

    Comment by Martin — September 13, 2011 @ 10:13 am

  7. Thanks Jon and Martin,
    Also Jon i was wondering if you had any plans to talk with Victor Erickson on your journey?. Maybe see if you could find out what his plans are concerning Cadillacs 7 – 100% owned claims. Now that richmont has released more drill results maybe CQX have had time to look into what to do there.

    Comment by Ed — September 13, 2011 @ 11:53 am

  8. Wise decision Martin, Hold on to CQX. This time it will climb to 50 cents.

    Comment by Eric Benson — September 13, 2011 @ 12:08 pm

  9. BMR
    did you see the letter to shareholders from CQX looks like they are going to start a drill program on their Utah properties?

    thx greg

    Comment by GREG — September 13, 2011 @ 1:08 pm

  10. Yes, news came out yesterday for CQX and it’s good news. I like the Utah project but (they did a great job tying up that former mining camp) but what the market is focused on at the moment is the Wasamac area and that will be the driver for the share price over the immediate future. What they do with their 7 claims adjoining the northern boundary of the Wasamac deposit will be interesting and important to watch.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — September 13, 2011 @ 2:18 pm

  11. If you go to cadillacmining.com they have set out a diagram of the goldstrike district with all the open pits and the drill targets for later this year. They also have historical data gathered from previous drilling with some impressive high grade hits. Have a look.

    Comment by Ed — September 13, 2011 @ 4:52 pm

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